Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5dcd6a7bc4d5cca91d7b2e0c73b45caeec958fba3bc3d4225ef551dd63dc032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 27,510$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.36 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 2c | 8,493$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 6,584$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 4,962$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 2,085$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 44c | 1,943$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.59 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 3c | 1,787$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 23c | 1,420$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 15c | 759.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 749.65$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 76c | 640.03$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 28c | 606.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 13c | 602.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 72c | 478.06$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 77c | 426.3$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 7c | 414.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 13c | 366.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 58c | 299.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 262.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 211.61$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 162.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 161.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 11c | 144.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 75c | 132.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…bda4backed Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 99.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Over | 53c | 98.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 38c | 94.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 24c | 78.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 28c | 58.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 29c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 76c | 51.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 26c | 49.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 46.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 25c | 45.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed Over | 77c | 43.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2b3dbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 45c | 26.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 25.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 75c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.