TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under57c22,492$12,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,922.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c15,412$6,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,384.2112639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c12,548$5,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,084.452,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c12,501$6,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,403.595,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over59c4,913$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.434847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Over55c4,292$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c2,693$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.072,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over34c2,298$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.614755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,884$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.671,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c1,340$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.261,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under45c1,264$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7929432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under19c1,233$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.164557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under47c1,112$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.24042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Under47c961.66$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over58c833.04$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.935740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c763$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.351,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under75c546.39$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7992835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c540$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3472144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c453.35$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.161,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over48c451.85$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.412657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over54c418.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c415.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1227148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.376854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over27c360.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7689245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under45c357.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.95036%18 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under60c354$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c332.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.128251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over48c307.33$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over54c272$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1217041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over59c264.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7119354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c251.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.622,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over59c198.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2882842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c188.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Over53c186.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over50c170.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5231960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c157.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7623347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under65c150.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over56c145$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9818161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c138.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.427037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over77c114.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba6c…dad3backed Over45c110.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over58c98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.297553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over53c95.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c95.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9121652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under48c93.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under43c93.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over58c92.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.714163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over49c89.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.272934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under57c81.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3920638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under60c79.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-81.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ba1…6aefbacked Over73c74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under66c70.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4326348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c66.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.941,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Under56c57.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under52c56.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.33862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over40c55.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.544678.3%36 W · 10 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over59c54.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Under58c54.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under51c51.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5144152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.39145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.540550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over30c49.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9727639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over59c49.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under46c48.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14560%27 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.178056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under66c41.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.138859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47df…2183backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3919556.9%111 W · 84 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over59c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over59c36.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under80c31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.738143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under58c30.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.611275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.19842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.