TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under73c35,522$26,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,419.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c23,616$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,670.363,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c7,524$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.7357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over69c7,225$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c4,849$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.7383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Over71c4,225$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c3,395$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.021,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c3,253$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.6699933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over16c3,053$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Over71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over31c2,560$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.243342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over19c2,450$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.636642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c2,062$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.851414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Under30c2,044$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.791040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7609052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c1,923$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c1,819$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c1,688$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.154,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under30c1,640$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.882941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under54c1,633$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c1,622$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.341,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over68c1,449$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.072962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,044$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7623232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71075451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7103435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over39c735.9$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over70c717.31$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over38c670$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under30c633.73$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.611770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a40…e7f0backed Over71c631.64$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under29c628.38$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1518046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over71c615.23$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.811241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over39c604.03$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.571330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under29c593.1$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over70c533.92$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under70c500.34$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Under73c495.5$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over22c398.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.782646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under30c373$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.112948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under65c364.08$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26aa…56d4backed Over71c327.04$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over72c327.03$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2219632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c294.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.912,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under60c283.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over27c282.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over16c280.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4620142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under37c270.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over34c268.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.27238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over72c266.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0211049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over60c266.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.713642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c261.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under29c259.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under29c259.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over10c258.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked Over62c256.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under30c247.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.041090%9 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick48cpaid+101.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over21c185.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393129%9 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c169.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over9c166.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900e…9e0ebacked Over39c165.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c155.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4215540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over28c149.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9610944%48 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over38c148.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.322065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d4…4ebcbacked Over32c147.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x125c…cb68backed Over39c141.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over71c134$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.143560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over64c125.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…dad3backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under71c108.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9715660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under42c107.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcae2…a01abacked Over38c101.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over12c99.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b7…602bbacked Over27c95.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Over71c93.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4771backed Over15c93.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c85.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.251,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0752…388cbacked Under29c85.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under68c85.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over27c82.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.83050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over25c79.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9411342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.