TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,608 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c696.16$150 inLost-$149.6923232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c550$437 inWon+$112.9299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c353.88$253 inWon+$100.474,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over50c242.64$121 inLost-$121.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over18c221$40 inLost-$39.782147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c151.36$35 inLost-$35.240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c108.28$64 inWon+$44.511,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c100$50 inLost-$508432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c89.58$24 inWon+$65.3948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over73c68.49$50 inLost-$503278.1%25 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost-$204062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under27c41.92$11 inWon+$30.5311254.5%61 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under27c37.5$10 inWon+$27.33452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over67c30$20 inLost-$20.18040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over73c26.08$19 inLost-$19.0419632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.