TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Valencia CFof Real Betis Balompié, Valencia CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Real Betis Balompié8c3,771$296 inLost-$296.383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Real Betis Balompié10c1,803$172 inLost-$172.3257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Real Betis Balompié13c1,071$139 inLost-$139.283348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Real Betis Balompié15c999.99$150 inLost-$15011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Real Betis Balompié3c843.17$29 inLost-$29.3323232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Real Betis Balompié15c343.39$50 inLost-$5022740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Real Betis Balompié16c300$48 inLost-$48742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Real Betis Balompié12c286.99$35 inLost-$34.6515540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Real Betis Balompié10c140.7$14 inLost-$14.0710445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Real Betis Balompié9c130$12 inLost-$11.77238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.