TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over36c678$245 inLost-$244.5212948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under68c365.71$250 inWon+$115.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c257.6$89 inLost-$89.199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under64c239.99$154 inWon+$86.417859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over36c239.99$86 inLost-$86.42657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under64c239.99$154 inWon+$86.413551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c202.92$29 inLost-$28.5623232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over36c200$72 inLost-$721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under65c200$130 inWon+$7011664.7%75 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over14c172.91$24 inLost-$24.211921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under64c169$108 inWon+$60.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over27c151$41 inLost-$40.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under65c124.01$81 inWon+$43.4740239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under63c67.49$43 inWon+$24.9748153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under64c50$32 inWon+$188647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under65c50$32 inWon+$17.7510347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under66c25$17 inWon+$8.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.