La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7561771ec77ab5dfbb9d132069af558d0fe9d150642e1b6f9a0f00116f240b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 24,142$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 34c | 4,137$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.09 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 65c | 2,783$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.85 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 2,515$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 36c | 2,408$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.12 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 987.36$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 757.58$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 66c | 618.2$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 38c | 602.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 569.53$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…c1a5backed Under | 70c | 561.42$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 66c | 396.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Over | 38c | 255.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Under | 35c | 253.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 146.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 103.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Under | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 54c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 30c | 83.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 75c | 74.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 54.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Under | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 21.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 57c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.