TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5811…0976backed Over36c834.59$300 inLost-$300.2319847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c381.99$64 inLost-$64.148338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c342.41$24 inLost-$23.5432635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c312.86$203 inWon+$109.51850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c253.86$89 inLost-$89.199053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c222.39$142 inWon+$80.0674350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over36c199.96$72 inLost-$71.993528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c192.41$126 inWon+$66.291,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over6c176.35$11 inLost-$10.746445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost-$502850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over35c108$38 inLost-$37.820942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over10c101.85$10 inLost-$10.494,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under65c91$59 inWon+$31.611747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over35c81$28 inLost-$28.351,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under64c50$32 inWon+$182470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over35c38.87$13 inLost-$13.4152152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Under64c18.25$12 inWon+$6.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Under64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.631190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick75cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.