TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c829$264 inLost-$264.299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c726$530 inLost-$530.34,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c439.8$190 inWon+$249.6823232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over74c340$252 inWon+$88.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c278.03$76 inLost-$76.351,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over71c250$178 inWon+$72.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under29c240$70 inLost-$69.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over72c201$144 inWon+$56.7912948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c198.98$143 inWon+$55.716349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over32c151.22$49 inWon+$102.631747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over23c112.2$26 inWon+$86.433544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over73c100$73 inWon+$271631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c100$26 inWon+$7440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over71c70.14$50 inWon+$20.143278.1%25 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…4790backed Over74c54.05$40 inWon+$14.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…bb09backed Over71c40$28 inWon+$11.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under29c38.7$11 inLost-$11.068647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over80c20.52$16 inWon+$4.22195.2%20 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick69cpaid+51%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.