TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over46c48,758$22,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,415.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under56c23,285$13,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,245.233354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under54c20,009$10,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,203.9913844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c13,107$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.5883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Under57c11,404$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c10,263$6,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.5399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942a…fda2backed Under57c7,293$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over44c6,998$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.1212948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over43c5,862$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.581816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under56c4,350$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9141040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under55c4,010$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c3,131$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.156349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over35c2,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8609052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over44c1,908$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.37841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under56c1,894$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c1,825$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.5669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c1,724$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.8368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under54c1,535$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6651936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c1,206$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4712546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over44c1,138$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over42c1,039$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.312814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x387f…970bbacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c997.1$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.731,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c972.8$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c934.72$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under55c839.49$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.772676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c815.87$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.242,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under57c753.06$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.461090%9 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick48cpaid+101.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under54c692.21$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4218046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under54c681.46$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under72c601.13$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.331,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over44c575.61$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2711542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under55c556.78$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.719632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c503.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1723232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over44c495.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under57c480$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.41855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under55c455$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over46c430.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19811049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c410.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under57c398$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5210145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c378.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over13c330.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5410445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over9c318$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.883342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Over43c313.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over9c295$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.915540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over8c280$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under57c261.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.49666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.071080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3e…bbeebacked Over45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under56c211.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under57c205.26$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc854…bfb4backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c199.81$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9111342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Under57c195.61$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Under56c177.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.071258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Under57c176.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under57c168$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.242564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c153.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.971,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa114…22c6backed Over48c130.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over45c117.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2945450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5e…84cdbacked Over44c103$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c97.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4244039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over44c95.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.963145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c94.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.461,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…e9acbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Over46c80.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.124148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.23050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8415660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x816a…5bebbacked Under65c77.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b63…eaacbacked Under57c66.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…ca39backed Over44c64.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c57.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2527758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.