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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,295,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,637,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed No65c582,747$381,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,062.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c7…9ccfbacked Yes34c315,054$107,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207,935.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaeb…e98ebacked Yes37c51,626$19,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,524.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c46,143$16,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,667.781,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c42,076$17,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,404.8164839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes35c40,832$14,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,663.412450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No63c36,223$22,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,820.345662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c28,584$12,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,075.511,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c26,094$18,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,869.64,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes32c16,595$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,284.536238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes27c15,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,009.956656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes28c14,501$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,420.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+98.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes36c12,491$4,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,944.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes35c12,345$4,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,024.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c11,508$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.4417051.2%87 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes35c9,227$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.2413641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes38c6,579$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes56c6,525$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.458541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No65c5,788$3,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,764.8431631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes36c5,354$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.065149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes79c5,063$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.55666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes54c4,865$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.121,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c4,755$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.612,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes42c4,731$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.4148548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes33c4,710$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.513321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No15c4,521$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.99119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-87%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes36c4,515$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.7874249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes34c4,262$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.929939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No21c4,132$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.524344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed No69c4,090$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes23c4,084$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.0615641%64 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c4,000$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.861,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes36c4,000$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.9480250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c3,688$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.2753149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No20c3,651$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.1616234%55 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No62c3,431$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.455352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes78c3,377$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.8817641.5%73 W · 103 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c3,344$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.3390543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.53per pick33cpaid+156%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes33c3,289$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2069641.7%40 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes36c3,244$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.2873549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.121944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No63c3,024$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.1211255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Yes31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No77c2,981$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.246936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes34c2,738$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.8219943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes73c2,728$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7518740.1%75 W · 112 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes35c2,587$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.593630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Yes20c2,395$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9161030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No63c2,300$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4494645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No64c2,040$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.0370356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,016$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.383,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30028147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes35c1,788$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.22839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c1,744$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.2612638.9%49 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No37c1,573$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.610837%40 W · 68 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1511234.8%39 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed No67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.592157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No64c1,429$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes35c1,354$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8185850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.791637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes37c1,270$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c1,242$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.971,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes34c1,241$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.037648.7%37 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6d…8409backed Yes35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes36c1,186$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.381973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+42.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes50c1,131$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.864652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes31c1,096$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.484037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6c…9f70backed No16c1,051$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes66c1,021$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.393452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65051851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68b9…1664backed Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+188.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No62c999.98$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.985058%29 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked Yes80c981.48$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.742416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c946.05$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6529443.2%127 W · 167 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c51…1fc1backed Yes26c892.85$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes32c863.38$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes65c863.07$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.277078.6%55 W · 15 L+14.3wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.811250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes34c799.98$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…5ff2backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.471338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes79c762.73$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.479957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked No67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No77c737.01$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.747044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No68c726.17$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.271656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No63c699.99$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Yes77c698.3$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed No67c662.16$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.891957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No21c652.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.236448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122a…2ccbbacked Yes36c641.03$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022344.4%99 W · 124 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.