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La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,278,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,303,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,278,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes36c773,327$276,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276,519.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No65c255,206$165,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,462.791717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No64c138,889$88,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,000.033652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0001225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c96,798$61,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,847.2411339.8%45 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes31c89,546$27,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,751.242227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked No65c66,940$43,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,428.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes35c65,530$22,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,935.473321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b08…02abbacked No64c55,000$35,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c49,183$15,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,693.724,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…de2abacked No64c42,500$27,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No66c39,115$25,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,298.953467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed No65c38,000$24,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3008100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+90.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No65c29,000$18,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,149.995743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No64c22,001$14,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,920.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No64c20,514$13,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.042744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No67c17,804$11,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,875.322254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No64c16,500$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9406743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Yes33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c13,377$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.341,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No67c12,500$8,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No64c10,159$6,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.245540%22 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6006331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No75c10,000$7,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c9,638$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.7990543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No64c9,185$5,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.62842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8801637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c6,956$5,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.1164839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes33c6,290$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08419943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes32c6,280$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes3c6,044$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.324344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c5,432$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.823,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes36c5,237$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70010345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c4,000$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.961,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052c…6762backed No67c3,635$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c3,344$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.31,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes35c3,344$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.415149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Yes30c3,109$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes36c2,825$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.998450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes36c2,701$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.3613641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c2,516$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.8970356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8752835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes35c2,472$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Yes17c2,219$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes24c2,041$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2148548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66018458.2%107 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70014149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c1,857$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.8373549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c1,632$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0517051.2%87 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No64c1,273$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.435433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Yes34c1,259$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No72c1,125$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.464652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes29c1,120$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+304.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked No71c1,030$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes34c1,012$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2474249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed No75c997.95$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No73c917.72$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.977044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2adb…32b6backed Yes39c855.15$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No66c823.25$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5918146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No66c752.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1621955.7%122 W · 97 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed No63c707.74$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.733754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d2…252abacked Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes33c687$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7918661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes33c667.73$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9513943.9%61 W · 78 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006830.9%21 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes35c666.64$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3280250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes33c640$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6812451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes34c618.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9230759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577e…d876backed Yes35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No67c517.28$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.77240.3%29 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes4c511.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.054122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No67c484$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.723464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes18c450$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No68c406.5$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa0…cac8backed No66c399.79$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c382.32$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.421,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes4c377.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9210853.7%58 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No65c369$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes33c368.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.512854.7%70 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c345.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0718740.1%75 W · 112 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No68c335.29$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.292166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No64c331.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes35c326$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.185850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.