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La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes30c96,831$29,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,212.131752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked No70c16,251$11,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No59c15,675$9,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.376656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed No70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5003100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3672…0a5fbacked No70c13,607$9,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c13,287$9,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.132,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c10,824$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.894,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c7,014$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.241,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No43c6,756$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.7817051.2%87 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No71c5,974$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.591050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes30c5,925$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.58450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c5,283$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.7890543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c5,216$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.6653149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c4,953$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.3713641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No46c4,709$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.348541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes57c3,732$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.8264839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No58c3,102$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.314344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed No59c3,020$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c3,000$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91080250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c3,000$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c2,488$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0170356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b81…4967backed Yes7c2,222$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.54119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Yes41c2,186$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c2,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61074249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c1,943$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.583,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No70c1,451$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.3418146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1921944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c1,421$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.363354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No70c1,412$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9411255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No64c1,390$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.243773%27 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c1,328$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.285149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes34c1,219$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41022344.4%99 W · 124 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes13c1,073$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.02119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-87%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes48c1,028$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30051851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30020322.2%45 W · 158 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c962.02$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.431,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes18c878.42$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1610837%40 W · 68 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c877.89$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.281,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No42c783.11$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.114652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes58c650.84$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.021782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Yes70c484.06$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No63c443.7$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.094845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No53c438.29$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6944838.4%172 W · 276 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No52c431.52$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.87044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked No52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.081442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked No50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No70c379.23$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e8…858fbacked Yes33c371.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes59c367.63$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0419941.7%83 W · 116 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c361.03$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1585850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes34c360.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.056251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No71c360.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No70c340$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb2…9811backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes51c296.73$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.112227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c278.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4654338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No58c269.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2818740.1%75 W · 112 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes30c266.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.91973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+42.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes30c263.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25e…aaa2backed Yes41c260$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No71c240.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.893464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302326.1%6 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes44c224$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6712451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…63a7backed Yes68c216.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked No70c214.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.282035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c211.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4719856.1%111 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No51c204.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4961355%337 W · 276 L+30.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes19c204$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…ab46backed No70c194$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No71c188.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.293452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Yes30c184.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes43c184.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7312854.7%70 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513925.9%36 W · 103 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes49c182.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2330759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b9…3964backed Yes12c180$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes29c178$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6219943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes44c178$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6518661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…74c8backed Yes30c173$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes35c168.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0129835.6%106 W · 192 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027144.6%121 W · 150 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…7639backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes24c149.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6083…aa55backed Yes30c146.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb31…fe71backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.