South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e98e8aa66945cd9c3c415bbf3fe07fefadd6eacea1ad5878f65633ecb6f86ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c45…5ac3backed Yes | 1c | 11,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 9,598$6,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed Yes | 38c | 4,851$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…cd32backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,666$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,455$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…8a62backed Yes | 32c | 2,347$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,233$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 2c | 1,164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e96…5bcdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,135$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,051$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 974.24$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 34c | 629.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 625.72$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 33c | 574.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 528$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 403.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 32c | 380.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 361.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 32c | 340.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 331.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 321.31$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…767cbacked Yes | 32c | 315.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 32c | 310.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…5bb7backed Yes | 4c | 306.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 34c | 303.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 265.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 37c | 261.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 201.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…a8cebacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…24dcbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 67c | 199.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 183.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 173.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 155.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 137.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 67c | 136.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…bbd0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 61c | 121.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…73d0backed Yes | 30c | 115.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…9b7cbacked No | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 88.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…2cc9backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…e24cbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 54c | 54.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 70c | 52.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…a0bfbacked Yes | 43c | 48.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 33c | 46.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…95b5backed Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed No | 66c | 33.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…7641backed Yes | 34c | 30.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.