South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0390b7aa450eade8e117ddf05d02e75c82a0704f0cdb51d182784b17abb970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 78c | 5,275$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 2,929$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 2,221$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,755$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.75 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 4c | 1,755$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 968.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 604.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 537.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 64c | 448.44$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 29c | 381.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 295.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 294.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 62c | 290.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 127.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 60c | 108.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 88.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 77c | 87.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed No | 44c | 79.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 62c | 54.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 78c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.