College Football · resolved market
Boston College vs. Louisville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d269ce203b6fb12e50155183ed39eaf4fe91d3a8f328a1f14ea11bafe029c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Boston College, Louisville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston College | 12c | 18,036$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.64 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston College | 11c | 13,380$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.67 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Boston College | 7c | 13,249$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.38 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Boston College | 5c | 13,236$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Boston College | 4c | 12,161$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.82 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Boston College | 7c | 5,950$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Boston College | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston College | 11c | 4,998$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.7 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Boston College | 14c | 4,644$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boston College | 11c | 3,184$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Boston College | 6c | 2,250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Boston College | 15c | 2,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Boston College | 6c | 1,900$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Boston College | 26c | 1,775$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.26 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston College | 9c | 1,385$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Boston College | 6c | 1,106$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Boston College | 14c | 1,050$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Boston College | 3c | 862.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Boston College | 5c | 754.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Boston College | 7c | 745.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…553dbacked Boston College | 7c | 722.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…f88fbacked Boston College | 19c | 549.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Boston College | 7c | 513$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Boston College | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Boston College | 5c | 404.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Boston College | 6c | 384$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Boston College | 4c | 377.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Boston College | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…665bbacked Boston College | 6c | 290$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Boston College | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Boston College | 21c | 207.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Boston College | 13c | 158.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston College vs. Louisvillethis page
- Boston College vs. Louisville: O/U 54.5Over won
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Louisville (-25.5)Boston College won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.