NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70df323efebb5d90937b2d607fdc7960852fcd96e6d384b6ebeac62064ae1768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Bears, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 36c | 30,650$11,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130.99 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Cardinals | 55c | 17,363$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.16 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bears | 35c | 11,796$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.72 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 10,738$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.1 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Bears | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…8293backed Bears | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…6811backed Cardinals | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bears | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Cardinals | 53c | 3,925$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 2,625$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.73 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…dd60backed Bears | 47c | 2,450$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Bears | 32c | 2,443$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 2,154$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Cardinals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bears | 4c | 1,795$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,647$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bears | 22c | 1,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Cardinals | 64c | 1,242$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 37c | 1,241$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.47 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Bears | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…c5b7backed Bears | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bears | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Cardinals | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bears | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Cardinals | 52c | 994.24$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…0650backed Bears | 7c | 903.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals | 54c | 842$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…d91dbacked Bears | 47c | 840.64$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Cardinals | 53c | 682.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…4bf2backed Bears | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…ec9bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 624.07$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cardinals | 62c | 620.36$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bears | 2c | 605$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 600.05$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.39 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bears | 47c | 572.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Cardinals | 70c | 562.1$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…13d2backed Cardinals | 54c | 515$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…87babacked Bears | 47c | 514$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bears | 34c | 510$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cardinals | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…68e6backed Cardinals | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Bears | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Cardinals | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bears | 50c | 428.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Bears | 46c | 419.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b37…60afbacked Bears | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b9…8116backed Cardinals | 54c | 370.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Bears | 18c | 370.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cardinals | 56c | 355.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bears | 50c | 350.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bears | 46c | 333$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…275ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 313.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…8f6fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 297.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Cardinals | 54c | 280.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…4e43backed Bears | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…2be3backed Cardinals | 66c | 263.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Bears | 28c | 258.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bears | 10c | 255.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Cardinals | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…fe00backed Bears | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Bears | 48c | 227.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Cardinals | 69c | 222$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…57e4backed Bears | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…baa0backed Cardinals | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Bears | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Bears | 36c | 188.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed Bears | 49c | 187.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Bears | 36c | 185$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 64c | 165.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Cardinals | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cardinals | 62c | 162.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4d6abacked Bears | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Cardinals | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bears | 47c | 149.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Cardinals | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Bears | 27c | 144.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Cardinals | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…af79backed Bears | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed Cardinals | 61c | 106.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…4063backed Bears | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…2194backed Bears | 48c | 104.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…eafebacked Cardinals | 46c | 104.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…0a44backed Bears | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…979cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 101.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Bears | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Bears | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Cardinals | 65c | 92.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 71 | 71.8%51 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Cardinals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Cardinals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Bears | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Cardinals | 76c | 83.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 77.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.