TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Lightning vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Lightning, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Rangers49c20,760$10,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,587.5910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning51c20,335$10,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.8516645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Rangers52c15,500$8,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,374.9936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers50c11,053$5,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.3911145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning48c8,067$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.311,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning46c7,779$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.7427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Lightning45c4,006$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.113845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers53c3,675$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.041,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9f…35ccbacked Lightning50c3,250$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4384…bb5ebacked Rangers50c3,250$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Lightning41c3,002$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.4810546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Lightning51c2,392$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cb…d41ebacked Lightning50c1,980$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1699…80e2backed Rangers50c1,980$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Lightning51c1,770$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning45c1,651$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Rangers54c1,538$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Lightning46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6902040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers72c1,264$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rangers52c1,026$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lightning54c1,000$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…2cfebacked Rangers50c940$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x737a…1699backed Lightning50c940$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Lightning19c905$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lightning41c857.14$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers46c842.46$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.931,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers61c682.27$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning44c677.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lightning30c663.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers50c656.5$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lightning52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Lightning44c577.15$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9520649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers50c565.73$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Rangers52c562.74$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning44c502.74$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers55c499.96$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning50c483$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning41c406.14$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers54c399.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers69c399.34$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.191,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Lightning32c346.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Lightning30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Lightning46c326.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Rangers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355966.1%39 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lightning51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Rangers51c290.64$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1427644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Lightning48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Lightning51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10242751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Rangers75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Lightning10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Lightning51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Lightning51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Lightning29c170.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…0153backed Lightning47c169.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Lightning40c163.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6660042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Lightning50c155.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5457238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning24c151.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Lightning50c143.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.736956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…08b1backed Lightning46c116.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc38c…3c77backed Rangers52c115.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0b…1a8bbacked Lightning50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d5…340bbacked Rangers50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…52acbacked Lightning51c114.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+76.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98ff…88e6backed Lightning50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…146cbacked Rangers50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f7…5e4bbacked Rangers50c113.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.621275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf19…8dcebacked Lightning47c105.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e4…7268backed Lightning45c102.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Lightning45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda36…582fbacked Lightning46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0b…5b2bbacked Rangers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Lightning51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Rangers48c99.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.972025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Lightning51c98.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0318452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc8…c426backed Rangers50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb488…45e7backed Lightning50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fcc…b622backed Lightning46c97.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x639e…1f29backed Rangers55c97.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.65988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9389…024abacked Lightning46c96.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8330…f9c9backed Rangers55c96.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f0…0adbbacked Rangers55c96.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.266100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04e5…61b6backed Lightning46c96.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d35…f346backed Rangers55c95.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.761070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc853…f856backed Rangers56c93.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d13…97ccbacked Rangers56c93.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…03febacked Rangers51c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c9…9507backed Lightning49c93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbccf…77fbbacked Rangers51c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd33…7f19backed Lightning49c93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…1ce4backed Rangers55c92.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.651090%9 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.41per pick49cpaid+109.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa5f0…87fdbacked Lightning46c92.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e5…7d39backed Lightning45c91.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.121040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61eb…0598backed Lightning46c88.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac10…6a71backed Lightning45c87.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.591040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.