South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9f3c7cf4297da46ef14b1ee306ba96816ec13ad22f37b93b6c7eab972c8764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 78c | 5,428$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.21 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 10c | 4,960$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 11c | 4,499$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 4,100$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 12c | 3,854$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.6 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 41c | 2,631$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 59c | 1,684$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 76c | 1,030$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 500.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 11c | 462.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 46c | 378.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 58c | 295.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 213.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…d0a5backed Yes | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed No | 59c | 103.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 53c | 78.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 66c | 34.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…0a3ebacked No | 53c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will São Paulo FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.