TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes63c20,557$12,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,628.052955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c20,376$7,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,910.133,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…5191backed Yes59c5,877$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe254…c91bbacked No41c5,877$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No40c4,329$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.692259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+115.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed No30c4,137$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.68825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No37c3,735$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.1213327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c2,427$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.712,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes64c1,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.412025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes60c1,214$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.732133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes62c1,045$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No37c874.9$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9415151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No39c661.85$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.12540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes64c626.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No38c599.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes60c566.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes59c538.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes63c520$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No36c452.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.447051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes59c420.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.232944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No39c409.4$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No9c329.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4312247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…209dbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7410539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ce…7fa9backed Yes60c199.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.731040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes62c177.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.42666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ac…4bdabacked No42c172.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda2…ffa9backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…b243backed Yes62c161.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732540%10 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3310761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe8…0b26backed Yes60c129.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No40c121.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.867533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c116$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8432…2fd5backed Yes60c110.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ab…ab0dbacked Yes64c93.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44a…d1cbbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes58c78.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes60c78.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa418…9438backed No42c65.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No40c61.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9588…6c10backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd729…d97ebacked No41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes59c48.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.717848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.164660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Yes60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9b…7653backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x339f…79f0backed Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c4…4872backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.