Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b193afefd9b9bbb5b7e1dabb5aa0a3ae63bd958d7e4879802b923525629d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 4,513$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Yes | 38c | 1,642$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 1,585$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 32c | 1,392$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked No | 62c | 822.84$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 774.94$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.96 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 35c | 750$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 333.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…0b78backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 292.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 290$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 34c | 282.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 53c | 73.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 69.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…357fbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 37c | 47.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 64c | 42.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…7d31backed No | 63c | 36.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…42a7backed Yes | 39c | 35.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1cd6backed Yes | 65c | 31.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…d4d5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…13b9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…09c4backed No | 64c | 23.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 64c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…f79ebacked Yes | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?No won
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.