Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfb521a338f4546b500b1608a236b43aef26613e5f80553399b621d938dd295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 28c | 8,649$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 65c | 2,600$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 65c | 2,567$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,762$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 66c | 1,684$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.6 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed No | 67c | 1,647$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Yes | 33c | 1,645$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,408$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 981.42$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.33 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…5cd1backed Yes | 27c | 909.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 65c | 868.27$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 5c | 688.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 599.86$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 35c | 473.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 14c | 465$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 66c | 333.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 65c | 299.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 290$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 65c | 260.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 64c | 231.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 23c | 131.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420a…414cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…e057backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 65c | 99.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…357fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…51bcbacked Yes | 36c | 57.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…8675backed No | 66c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 64c | 26.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…1794backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.