Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc498647d5b93a2bad78bd2834b8d766b19365034ce8625d7fe27691afc253a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 32c | 17,269$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 68c | 4,175$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 4,170$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.83 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 69c | 2,712$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.83 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,531$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 67c | 2,305$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 1,522$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 68c | 928.34$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 68c | 750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 67c | 750$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 30c | 746.67$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 71c | 378.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 290$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 68c | 250$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 69c | 161.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 71c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 68c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.