NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf2780d1a3890fb255dd3019d5901dd2d16cbf162f7860d6dca040e18fbbc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Suns | 48c | 40,957$19,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,824.37 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 52c | 35,828$18,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,355.86 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Suns | 49c | 22,041$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Clippers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Clippers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Suns | 48c | 5,344$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.32 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 48c | 4,479$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 49c | 3,323$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.51 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 51c | 3,260$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Clippers | 52c | 2,900$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.6 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…085ebacked Clippers | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…1c29backed Suns | 48c | 1,956$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 1,016$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Clippers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Clippers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 47c | 879$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Clippers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Suns | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 48c | 476$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 47c | 290.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Suns | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Clippers | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 48c | 242$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Suns | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Suns | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…d806backed Suns | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…1c66backed Clippers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Clippers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Clippers | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…db70backed Suns | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Clippers | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Suns | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Clippers | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)this page
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Suns vs. ClippersClippers won
- Suns vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Suns vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.