NFL · resolved market
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e833b3388c6dab102d2cd6065bdf32583096afc0ea63503bb1c54c57967d657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers | 51c | 94,222$47,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,552.66 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Saints | 51c | 74,993$38,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,246.65 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Saints | 49c | 42,497$20,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,904.11 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Buccaneers | 49c | 25,003$12,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,740.02 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Buccaneers | 49c | 23,410$11,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,868.17 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Saints | 49c | 13,469$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.69 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Saints | 49c | 12,433$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.17 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Saints | 49c | 9,096$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.41 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Buccaneers | 51c | 8,569$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Buccaneers | 53c | 7,241$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.91 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 47c | 7,001$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.58 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 6,593$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.5 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Buccaneers | 51c | 6,314$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.73 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Saints | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 3,947$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.51 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Saints | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Saints | 48c | 2,841$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.39 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 2,472$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.72 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Saints | 50c | 2,299$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.39 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Saints | 49c | 2,276$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.04 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Saints | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 50c | 1,687$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Buccaneers | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.06 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Saints | 51c | 867$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 646$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Saints | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Saints | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 471$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Buccaneers | 50c | 404.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Buccaneers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Saints | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Saints | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Buccaneers | 52c | 283.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Saints | 49c | 276.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Saints | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Buccaneers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Buccaneers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Saints | 49c | 187$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buccaneers | 54c | 174$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Buccaneers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Saints | 50c | 147.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Saints | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Saints | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Buccaneers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Buccaneers | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 65.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Buccaneers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…3363backed Buccaneers | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Buccaneers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Saints | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Buccaneers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…8903backed Buccaneers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…75a1backed Buccaneers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Buccaneers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. SaintsBuccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 46.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 47.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Buccaneers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Buccaneers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Buccaneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.