NFL · resolved market
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5d9b1a1a05f5007394a453edc8ec0da5d8cf52ba72b534e77ff86377203bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3450…6793backed Buccaneers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Saints | 47c | 5,085$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.07 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saints | 47c | 1,960$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers | 39c | 1,551$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.15 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Buccaneers | 41c | 1,060$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.39 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Saints | 58c | 1,013$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.34 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Saints | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 59c | 838.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Saints | 61c | 653.09$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…3f91backed Buccaneers | 41c | 611$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Saints | 59c | 503.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Saints | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Buccaneers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Saints | 60c | 192.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Buccaneers | 46c | 175.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Saints | 58c | 65.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…f00cbacked Buccaneers | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saints | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Buccaneers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Saints | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Saints | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. SaintsBuccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 46.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 47.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Buccaneers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Buccaneers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Buccaneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.