South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c09fb5056d526eaf6f02b26e3757d60a8fafd06371c95d4e632a04b38da2c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 14,814$7,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.87 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 2,865$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.99 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 1,317$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.7 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 1,093$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 923.9$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.21 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 916.8$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 553.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 450.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 33c | 386.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 52c | 384.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Yes | 66c | 290.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 48c | 206.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 206.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 40c | 169.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Yes | 69c | 144.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked No | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 119.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 51c | 116.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…4b78backed No | 35c | 95.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 49c | 90.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 88.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…db3ebacked Yes | 77c | 85.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 49c | 82.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 73.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…8c13backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Yes | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…183bbacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…8194backed Yes | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 57.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 71c | 39.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…f2e3backed Yes | 52c | 31.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…614cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6ccebacked Yes | 68c | 26.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 52c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…1addbacked Yes | 59c | 18.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.