South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc2251c026d09ac760fbd8bed55f4bbe9c29397e3cc02d29cc32613e72319c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,604$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 25c | 1,584$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 775.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.5 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 31c | 760.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.5 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 691$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.63 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 600$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 555.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.48 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 78c | 541$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 406.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 278.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 233$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 191$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 125$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…f2e3backed Yes | 29c | 56.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 75c | 50.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 21.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.