Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x542b9c48530efaaed223786e423720b3653503228a62c93b07d3a9e103010897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 50c | 19,997$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.7 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,707$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked No | 51c | 3,707$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 3,562$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked No | 52c | 3,190$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,033$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,027$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 46c | 1,905$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.31 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 57c | 1,512$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.35 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 1,146$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.3 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 47c | 1,014$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.84 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 66c | 881.56$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 867.77$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 864.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 47c | 830$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 37c | 810.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 8c | 800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 39c | 678.7$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 45c | 401.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 50c | 393.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 388.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Yes | 42c | 356.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 319.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 53c | 248.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 34c | 245.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 41c | 244.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 79c | 226.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…d2b1backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 52c | 191.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed No | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 179.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 50c | 176.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 14c | 156.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 46c | 142.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…6219backed No | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 49c | 130.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 46c | 129.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 44c | 120.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 50c | 116.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…2ee1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 49c | 91.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Yes | 22c | 81.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 32c | 73.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…c0edbacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…9664backed Yes | 50c | 69.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Yes | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…c455backed Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 59.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 50c | 44.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 40.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…0deabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.