Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301682a5798eacb829ab964565e862c714fdf8cf5add915525baca20423f7ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 38,259$5,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 10,637$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 9,138$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,413$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.67 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 18c | 5,168$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.26 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…2519backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 2,946$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…6797backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 17c | 1,181$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,137$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 20c | 999.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 15c | 862.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 675$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 16c | 517.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 19c | 513.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 16c | 511.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 510.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Yes | 14c | 508$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 16c | 430.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 15c | 341.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 330.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 19c | 302.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 17c | 263.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…c8aebacked Yes | 20c | 254.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…43c0backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 16c | 243.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 14c | 239.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 221$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 219$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 216.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 212.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…ca8ebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 15c | 141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 19c | 108.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…7bc8backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…06cabacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 20c | 100.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 16c | 100.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…5692backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…cba4backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…1e66backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…1faebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…0850backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…786ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.