Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8057ab0aba39be5840196bf8b759c98d8ac143741f24073ab96b67a126fefb04

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $161,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,038 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	18,996$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.32	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	5c	17,824$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.63	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	5c	16,380$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.41	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	4c	10,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	5c	5,004$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.19	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	5c	3,789$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.88	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes	5c	2,776$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.23	51	3.9%2 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	5c	2,606$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.4	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	5c	1,900$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes	3c	1,700$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	121	9.1%11 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	3c	1,309$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.47	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	4c	1,283$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	4c	1,269$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.22	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes	6c	1,060$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.36	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…d755backed Yes	5c	1,048$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes	5c	961.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	29.7%71 W · 168 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes	5c	925.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	35%42 W · 78 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes	6c	870.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	5c	792.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.27	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	189	18.5%35 W · 154 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes	5c	680$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	678.95$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…4c05backed Yes	5c	592.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	4c	561.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	239	44.8%107 W · 132 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…449dbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	5c	477.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.66	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes	5c	391.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes	5c	391.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	5c	388.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes	5c	384.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	345	24.1%83 W · 262 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes	5c	370.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	27.5%75 W · 198 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	5c	360$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	147	20.4%30 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes	5c	275.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	132	15.2%20 W · 112 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	5c	225.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes	5c	223.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	454	24.7%112 W · 342 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes	5c	210$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f4…6137backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	20%9 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	5c	190$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?Yes won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event