TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes17c48,754$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c22,335$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c4,208$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.281,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes17c3,417$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes16c3,189$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.2525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes13c2,794$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes16c2,699$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes15c1,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9212015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yes17c1,180$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.625857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes10c1,136$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0462633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes18c1,128$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes14c1,120$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8222226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…2896backed Yes7c1,050$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.518231.9%58 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes19c1,040$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Yes16c1,024$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16627128.4%77 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes4c898$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…9e0ebacked Yes16c716$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17fa…43c0backed Yes3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes6c637.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes18c616.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11153436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes16c610$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.635110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes17c600$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes16c409.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4914134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes4c384.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.922,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018723.5%44 W · 143 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021243.9%93 W · 119 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248833%29 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes16c295$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.222452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb03…fbdebacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.518637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013215.2%20 W · 112 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516524.2%40 W · 125 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Yes14c212.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.779028.9%26 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c209$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.091,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166229%18 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes7c192.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305626.8%15 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcce5…3527backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4325…19e5backed Yes16c185.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.621747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010041%41 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25320.8%11 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2948…c872backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307222.2%16 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x454b…92c1backed Yes12c162.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Yes16c154.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7513447%63 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…2b21backed Yes16c154.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1729…6805backed Yes7c143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.019827.6%27 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Yes17c140.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410022%22 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes16c137.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211733.3%39 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78dd…668dbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd513…e249backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207332.9%24 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b3…01babacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes16c121.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d7…1c40backed Yes14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes17c118.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016919.5%33 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019825.3%50 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.9wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9de…1ba8backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154712.8%6 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…18b6backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510645.3%48 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…d6bcbacked Yes18c81.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77436.5%27 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…cfe0backed Yes18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47015.7%11 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d1…1baabacked Yes18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312948.8%63 W · 66 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2417…e4dabacked Yes18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64124.4%10 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.