Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9fd58f9b6b2a7d2128a345175053e29e263c2376e91df83e74df133a04ecc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 48,754$8,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.57 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 22,335$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 4,208$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 17c | 3,417$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 16c | 3,189$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.25 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,794$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 16c | 2,699$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 17c | 1,180$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 10c | 1,136$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 18c | 1,128$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 1,120$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 7c | 1,050$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 19c | 1,040$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,024$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 898$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…9e0ebacked Yes | 16c | 716$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…43c0backed Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 6c | 637.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 18c | 616.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 16c | 610$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes | 16c | 409.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 384.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 23.5%44 W · 143 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…be20backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 16c | 295$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…fbdebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 14c | 212.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 209$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 192.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…3527backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…19e5backed Yes | 16c | 185.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…c872backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…92c1backed Yes | 12c | 162.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Yes | 16c | 154.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Yes | 16c | 154.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…6805backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Yes | 17c | 140.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…668dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b3…01babacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 121.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 17c | 118.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…1ba8backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…18b6backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…d6bcbacked Yes | 18c | 81.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…cfe0backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…e4dabacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.