Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab8f159c92cc9a3f2489776c0d0c55534c86d831fdeb3aeb0ae92a86bf92f02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 27,215$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.38 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 8c | 19,549$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 14,906$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 5,017$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…2519backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 7c | 2,074$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,818$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,714$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,230$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,087$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 999.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 805.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 7c | 752.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 698.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 488.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 5c | 396.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 7c | 280.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…8170backed Yes | 7c | 267.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Yes | 7c | 208.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…5d84backed Yes | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 6c | 196.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…de6dbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…bcdcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…6aa2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…bcadbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…6686backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 Australia?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.