Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76496fe91b13b5ae0fb987757e465193936a1f78a6db09fe33a07ceb25fea45

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $128,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes	11c	38,279$4,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,210.72	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	10c	11,674$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.38	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	10,840$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.56	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes	14c	3,513$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	224	21.9%49 W · 175 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	156	7.7%12 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	13c	2,558$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	10c	1,645$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.5	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	12c	1,608$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.97	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	14c	1,200$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.28	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Yes	17c	1,187$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	15c	1,154$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.92	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	9c	1,048$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.91	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87db…78ccbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	15.6%17 W · 92 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…4c05backed Yes	10c	625$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	15c	598.21$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.82	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes	11c	554.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	294	28.9%85 W · 209 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Yes	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes	13c	308.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	15.2%20 W · 112 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831a…e8e6backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	189	18.5%35 W · 154 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	10c	288.6$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.86	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes	13c	268.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	194	28.9%56 W · 138 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17fa…43c0backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes	13c	244.27$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	373	20.9%78 W · 295 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes	10c	239.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	97	30.9%30 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes	12c	205.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	27.5%75 W · 198 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	267	38.2%102 W · 165 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611b…e89dbacked Yes	18c	191.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	11c	187.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	345	24.1%83 W · 262 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9442…2338backed Yes	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	14c	173.88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	483	34.2%165 W · 318 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes	10c	160.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes	16c	160$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	24.2%40 W · 125 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	14c	147.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes	15c	140.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	12c	137.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Yes	10c	130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc158…9d65backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	110	12.7%14 W · 96 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b37…5692backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	15c	122.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes	16c	121.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	191	44.5%85 W · 106 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffbd…fa33backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes	13c	115$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57fd…6681backed Yes	17c	114.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.33per pick	58cpaid	+51%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x069a…7c82backed Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc61…bc17backed Yes	13c	104.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafb5…07d2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+40%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b44…2280backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032b…9d22backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac34…5cbdbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	142	23.9%34 W · 108 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…134dbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b02…a231backed Yes	15c	98.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	11c	98.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	12c	93.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	13c	92.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Yes	16c	87.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	107	41.1%44 W · 63 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?Yes won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 Australia?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 Australia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event