CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0424c7d29b1e96b3a0d66c7bf4306be57ac61142d1d588ff447c1546fb5222

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8136…772cbacked Under	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.99	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.98	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	43c	1,237$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.92	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under	55c	1,228$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.45	238	51.7%123 W · 115 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	44c	1,189$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.65	648	52%337 W · 311 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over	38c	1,125$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.65	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over	44c	1,098$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.2	184	42.9%79 W · 105 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Over	44c	1,098$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.2	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	-18.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under	56c	1,022$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.09	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under	57c	845.36$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.51	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cd…0cd5backed Over	44c	822.96$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.1	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	62c	780.35$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.88	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Under	61c	739.15$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.27	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under	56c	658.22$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.62	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	44c	550$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	149	55%82 W · 67 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over	35c	467.95$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.73	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Over	44c	357.57$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.33	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	56c	355.4$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.66	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over	44c	329.45$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.96	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over	44c	245.28$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.93	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over	44c	235.28$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.52	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over	44c	219.64$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under	56c	217.65$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.76	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Under	66c	215.22$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.17	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Over	45c	214.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.7	128	52.3%67 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Under	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under	44c	190.81$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.9	529	51.4%272 W · 257 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Over	41c	189.84$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.16	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bc1…5fafbacked Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68e…85e5backed Over	57c	170.39$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.43	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over	21c	155.12$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	56c	155$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.2	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	36c	146.59$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.58	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Over	44c	136.83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	39c	135.73$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	33c	134.42$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.72	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	30c	131.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	36c	125.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.74	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…af37backed Over	35c	123$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over	21c	112.03$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over	43c	110$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	916	48.9%448 W · 468 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over	44c	109.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…f56bbacked Over	44c	109.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…aea3backed Under	51c	105.85$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Over	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over	43c	99.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	251	43.8%110 W · 141 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	57c	99.13$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.63	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under	56c	97.98$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.11	183	52.5%96 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bb…1c4bbacked Over	44c	96.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.52	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	54c	95.65$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	611	54.7%334 W · 277 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over	45c	87.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-4.9wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over	34c	83.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	472	60%283 W · 189 L	+31.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under	63c	76.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.49	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	56c	74.97$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…5ff0backed Under	57c	71.12$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.58	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over	46c	63.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	201	45.8%92 W · 109 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0f…c3c8backed Over	45c	62.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	39c	61.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	406	35.7%145 W · 261 L	-33.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	50c	45.33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.67	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b2…94b8backed Over	44c	43.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…61f5backed Over	44c	43.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Over	44c	43.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6342…0546backed Over	40c	42.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x641c…ba0bbacked Over	44c	41.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-7.6wins	-0.29per pick	60cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	32c	40.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…a515backed Over	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over	42c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf632…bcd4backed Over	48c	39.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over	45c	34.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Under	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c18…37ddbacked Under	58c	33.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Over	44c	32.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Over	41c	32.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	41c	29.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e57…831dbacked Under	63c	29.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8c…4136backed Over	50c	28.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc7…0793backed Over	44c	24.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	54cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ca…40fcbacked Over	44c	24.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…452ebacked Over	44c	23.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad64…8447backed Under	57c	21.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.09	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x827d…a53ebacked Under	64c	20.67$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.49	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81c1…8cf3backed Under	57c	19.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.47	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under	61c	19.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.67	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under	61c	19.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.62	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Under	61c	19.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.62	44	81.8%36 W · 8 L	+6.5wins	+0.15per pick	67cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Under	66c	19.51$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Vitality won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event