TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Max Houkes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Max Houkes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Max Houkes6c6,764$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.988,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Valentin Royer73c2,045$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2533346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Max Houkes30c2,020$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Max Houkes27c1,742$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4658734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Max Houkes11c1,721$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.329737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Max Houkes20c1,529$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.422,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes15c1,303$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Max Houkes7c1,302$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d30…89ccbacked Valentin Royer70c1,189$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9417450%87 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Max Houkes4c1,116$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Max Houkes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Houkes30c799.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ee…30e9backed Valentin Royer72c796.17$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Max Houkes28c781.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7758232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Valentin Royer73c737.84$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Valentin Royer72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1814162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Max Houkes30c628.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6110646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ec…060bbacked Valentin Royer70c628.48$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Max Houkes2c601.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Max Houkes27c599.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2527231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Houkes27c467$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Houkes27c463$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.017,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Valentin Royer71c415.19$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.42,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…0b7dbacked Max Houkes29c386.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Max Houkes4c372.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.926953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Max Houkes28c366.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.721,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Valentin Royer73c334.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4941668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Max Houkes11c317.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9723429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Valentin Royer73c308.39$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e2…7848backed Valentin Royer70c303.02$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Max Houkes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Valentin Royer73c296.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.121,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valentin Royer73c296.48$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.051,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Max Houkes12c285.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Valentin Royer69c284.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1940264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Valentin Royer70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Max Houkes16c273.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.842,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Valentin Royer73c270.29$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.547749.4%38 W · 39 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Max Houkes5c248.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Max Houkes14c225.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.656,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Valentin Royer74c196.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0750458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Valentin Royer70c175.36$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6171165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Max Houkes29c165.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8728255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Valentin Royer72c156.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7726457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Max Houkes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9388560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc1…b39cbacked Valentin Royer70c154.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.296100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes29c143$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.477,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Valentin Royer73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3917269.2%119 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Max Houkes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Max Houkes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Max Houkes29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Houkes15c96.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…3aa6backed Valentin Royer73c94.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.473366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Valentin Royer70c93.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.144,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Valentin Royer73c87.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6516560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Valentin Royer72c80.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.681457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Valentin Royer72c80.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5758453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Max Houkes26c79.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Valentin Royer73c73.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Max Houkes19c70.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3515332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Valentin Royer79c67.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…9f16backed Max Houkes30c64.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.152626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Valentin Royer72c61.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3450259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Max Houkes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7b…e99bbacked Valentin Royer71c55.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.053759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Valentin Royer69c55.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.138754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Max Houkes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Max Houkes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Max Houkes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Valentin Royer72c43.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1164358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Valentin Royer70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6359366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…ffdebacked Valentin Royer72c40.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.293770.3%26 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Max Houkes28c35.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Valentin Royer71c30.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8316459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…52cabacked Valentin Royer70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.424070%28 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Valentin Royer70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Valentin Royer70c27.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.324965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276e…056dbacked Valentin Royer72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…5a73backed Valentin Royer73c21.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b3…5821backed Valentin Royer71c20.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.068561.2%52 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb37a…17c4backed Valentin Royer71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.025759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7133…3fb1backed Valentin Royer73c17.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.735381.1%43 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valentin Royer74c15.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Valentin Royer70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58861.4%54 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.