MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9872a052deffdca1943539aeedbfe0760b685e3adc6e51389c5c5605c50e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 45c | 4,875$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.9 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 3,936$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.18 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,158$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.62 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees | 44c | 1,259$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.7 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.99$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 45c | 897.09$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 858.64$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 772.75$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 694.01$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 691$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 17c | 512.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 440.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 396.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed New York Yankees | 43c | 359.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked New York Yankees | 27c | 279.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 23c | 254.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 241.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 232.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 231$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 212.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 43c | 201.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 159.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 105.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 90.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed New York Yankees | 48c | 73.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…17bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 68.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed New York Yankees | 47c | 64.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed New York Yankees | 43c | 59.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 42c | 51.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 43c | 49.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 45.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 45.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed New York Yankees | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 37.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 34.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 30.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 26.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.