Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Alexis Galarneau vs Kaichi Uchida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8e416add30e041dae9ce7318f7cf1aa2198542786def5560a9f63de63d3e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexis Galarneauof Alexis Galarneau, Kaichi Uchida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kaichi Uchida | 12c | 559.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kaichi Uchida | 9c | 402.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kaichi Uchida | 22c | 394.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 379.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexis Galarneau | 78c | 364.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kaichi Uchida | 14c | 351.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 340.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 293.09$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 287.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kaichi Uchida | 24c | 274.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Kaichi Uchida | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 258.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 220.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 212$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 201.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexis Galarneau | 75c | 164.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 152.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 150.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Kaichi Uchida | 27c | 140.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Alexis Galarneau | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 117.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Kaichi Uchida | 11c | 101.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexis Galarneau | 66c | 99.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaichi Uchida | 15c | 98.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 97.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 75.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 80c | 68.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 66.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Kaichi Uchida | 27c | 47.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kaichi Uchida | 25c | 45.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Kaichi Uchida | 27c | 44.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 39.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 39.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 38.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Alexis Galarneau | 77c | 30.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Alexis Galarneau | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…e3d7backed Alexis Galarneau | 79c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 18.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Alexis Galarneau | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.