Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Zdenek Kolar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311000c399f2adcd47b1f958c2372d67b34af236d3f1eebc502f289011a92041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Houkesof Max Houkes, Zdenek Kolar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Max Houkes | 48c | 913.05$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.79 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Max Houkes | 48c | 865.75$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Max Houkes | 49c | 860.45$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zdenek Kolar | 17c | 645.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes | 44c | 528.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Max Houkes | 47c | 526.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zdenek Kolar | 45c | 525.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Max Houkes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 492.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.69 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zdenek Kolar | 52c | 490.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zdenek Kolar | 46c | 423.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zdenek Kolar | 34c | 414.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Zdenek Kolar | 55c | 325.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Zdenek Kolar | 8c | 312.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 299.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes | 57c | 258.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Zdenek Kolar | 26c | 232.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 192.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Zdenek Kolar | 54c | 181.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zdenek Kolar | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Max Houkes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zdenek Kolar | 10c | 138.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Zdenek Kolar | 53c | 138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Max Houkes | 45c | 126.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zdenek Kolar | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Zdenek Kolar | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Houkes | 44c | 105.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Max Houkes | 63c | 100.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Max Houkes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 99.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Max Houkes | 49c | 96.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 89.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 89.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes | 45c | 87.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Zdenek Kolar | 25c | 80.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 75.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 60.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zdenek Kolar | 53c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Max Houkes | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Max Houkes | 64c | 46.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Max Houkes | 76c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Max Houkes | 49c | 40.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Zdenek Kolar | 28c | 40.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Max Houkes | 61c | 39.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Zdenek Kolar | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zdenek Kolar | 55c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Zdenek Kolar | 55c | 34.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Max Houkes | 45c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Houkes | 67c | 32.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Max Houkes | 52c | 32.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Max Houkes | 47c | 30.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Max Houkes | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Max Houkes | 43c | 23.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Zdenek Kolar | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…6863backed Zdenek Kolar | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Zdenek Kolarthis page
- Max Houkes vs. Zdenek Kolar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Houkes vs KolarHoukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.