TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over48c107,140$51,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,377.9555053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under52c53,141$27,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,507.986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c23,095$11,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,113.4465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c10,075$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,836.111,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8002065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8005143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c4,177$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.5428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over49c4,113$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.3812551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under53c3,870$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.878247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Over49c3,165$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.043531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under57c2,603$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.4148850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…78bfbacked Over49c2,367$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under67c2,223$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.252,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under51c2,129$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.2865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under52c1,933$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.6411451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under52c1,524$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3118553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under54c1,275$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.166653%35 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under56c1,198$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c1,022$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.671,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc7…4572backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c969.4$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.081,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over24c846.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.91,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under53c754$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3830844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over24c725.2$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.059035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under52c679.84$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3212049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under75c642.33$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.134,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under52c618.23$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7536649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under52c606.87$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.328154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under69c500.69$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.371,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c493.95$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.140341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a35…86d9backed Over37c462.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c439.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.031,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4725751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c337.62$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4339351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c330.58$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6834452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c330.58$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6812656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c330.16$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.541,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c309.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0341847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.68042.5%34 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under53c257.04$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8122457.1%128 W · 96 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over49c244.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8812449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over44c237.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.61,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under52c224.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.581,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under68c217.49$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9315858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c215.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.341,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under69c214.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.725,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under57c211.54$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9611347.8%54 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under52c205.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8311450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over18c198.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9424950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…caa6backed Over25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1822753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over15c182.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8114034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c174.66$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8494648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under52c174.66$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8412250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under75c155.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9155847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c153.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.831,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c149.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under52c140.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2422450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under60c134.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Over36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c81…5d38backed Under78c127.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Over48c122.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.231040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c122.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.16,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c118.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.082,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c115.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6530750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under57c112.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.433,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over41c104.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9229141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under52c101.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9524350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b8…8924backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.827251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8212750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over28c81.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.162924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over49c78.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4841249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over48c74.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7514047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c73.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under71c68.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.316355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under63c65.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2821153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under80c61.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over40c59.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5355464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under58c59.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8837747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over24c57.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.879250%46 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under54c53.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7379543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under61c52.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.962,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over50c51.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.719448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over29c50.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under52c47.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7416544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Over46c46.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over37c45.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under61c42.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under52c40.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6531046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Over49c40.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.