MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e6370691b3d4f1506667eb4ee4f415b460be230d65f90bb91c77551138ec91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 3,066$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 2,522$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 1,449$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.53 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,154$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,027$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 983.49$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 838.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 700.54$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.26 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 522.15$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 503$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.74 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 474.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chicago White Sox | 68c | 411.88$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 320.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 252.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 65c | 240.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 223.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 203.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 161.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 160.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 147.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 134.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 132.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 121.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 117.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 104.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 103.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 83.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 77.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 73.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 72.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 71.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 68.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 68.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 66.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 66.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 64.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 61.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 59.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 58.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 51.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 49.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 44.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 42.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 39.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 39.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 38.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 36.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 34.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 34.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…c846backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 32.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Chicago White Sox | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 30.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 29.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 26.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 16.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White SoxTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.