NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241e3900bcdba2ba58252a4fcd4b92c5b80606249aa031751bef35b23c44e610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $553,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 57c | 300,000$170,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,757.91 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 43c | 147,029$63,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,844 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 55c | 99,114$55,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,007.25 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 63,031$27,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,846.22 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 58,522$26,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,293.15 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 57c | 32,719$18,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,649.83 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 43c | 30,452$13,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,357.49 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 43c | 26,496$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,102.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 58c | 24,000$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,920 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Over | 42c | 21,064$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,217.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 44c | 20,000$8,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,270 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 43c | 16,565$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,442.3 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 14,361$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.35 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 42c | 13,941$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.86 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 11,000$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 9,880$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.96 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 9,189$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.31 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 6,830$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 5,021$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 5,010$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.95 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 42c | 4,055$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,899$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 2,760$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.74 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 43c | 1,927$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.45 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 57c | 1,747$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 1,707$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.77 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,347$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Over | 43c | 879.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 854$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 44c | 796.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 731.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…a320backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 43c | 694$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.58 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 601.28$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 57c | 599.66$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 593.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.32 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 60c | 500.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 21c | 497.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 489.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 420$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 418.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 44c | 413.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 49c | 405.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 43c | 349$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 64c | 344.78$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 58c | 338.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 43c | 304.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 43c | 302.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 56c | 265.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 265.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 265.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…aba5backed Under | 57c | 246.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 63c | 238.23$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 43c | 230$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 42c | 212.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 58c | 207.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 58c | 167.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 44c | 153.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…a60cbacked Under | 56c | 149.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 43c | 145$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 35c | 139.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 40c | 136.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 57c | 132$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 130.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b2aebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 59c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 56c | 106.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 102.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 52c | 100.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…ca2cbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 14c | 99.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Over | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Under | 59c | 97.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 45c | 91.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 87.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…b162backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.