TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe25d…a320

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damir Dzumhur vs. Filip Jianu: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.38
Set 1 Winner: Rocha vs Trungellitibacked Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.24
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.67
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+525%+$882.42
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$179.68
Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrejbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$307.56
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Parejabacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.26
Set 1 Winner: Lys vs Volynetsbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Daniel Altmaier vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Set 1 Winner: Garcia vs Kalininabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Mariana Higuitabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Ontario Reign vs. Coachella Valley Firebirdsbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.85
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wildbacked Rockford IceHogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$130.67
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Koelner Haiebacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+111%+$143.64
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: QoR (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.