NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e68fe41187d8481e480fe1defa16c042f11e56d61667a1c8b497c515cce38b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockford IceHogsof Rockford IceHogs, Iowa Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 4,337$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.98 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 2,881$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 1,048$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Iowa Wild | 50c | 688.64$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.33 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 624.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 611.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 592.19$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…a320backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 226.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…d1e1backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…d71abacked Iowa Wild | 48c | 217$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…baffbacked Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 216.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…7634backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 214.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…ebc4backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 214.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…08d7backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 213.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…cc75backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 212$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…3014backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 211$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…83e7backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 209.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…6e96backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 207.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…3eedbacked Iowa Wild | 48c | 206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137d…ca74backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…e8abbacked Iowa Wild | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98de…c851backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 200.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…a06fbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 198.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48b…c11ebacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 196.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…0e19backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…0e99backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…5280backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 195.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…3401backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…ccf6backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…4c2bbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 191.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…4a09backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…f67cbacked Iowa Wild | 49c | 191$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…6b69backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 190.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…f019backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 190.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…4ab1backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 188.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…d4a2backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfb…1c9ebacked Iowa Wild | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…d9d0backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 186.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…3945backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 184.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5defbacked Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 184.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…f1d8backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…d785backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…2d60backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rockford IceHogs | 69c | 182.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…3449backed Iowa Wild | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…4754backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…90debacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 180.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…739fbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 180.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…eda8backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 180.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149c…9f02backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rockford IceHogs | 60c | 156.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Iowa Wild | 44c | 134$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Rockford IceHogs | 50c | 120.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Rockford IceHogs | 52c | 118.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 108.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Iowa Wild | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Iowa Wild | 22c | 92.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 87.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Iowa Wild | 49c | 78.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 71.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…c1d9backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…1991backed Rockford IceHogs | 50c | 63.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Iowa Wild | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rockford IceHogs | 70c | 57.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Rockford IceHogs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…d33ebacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Iowa Wild | 28c | 38.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Iowa Wild | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Iowa Wild | 36c | 28.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Rockford IceHogs | 74c | 24.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Iowa Wild | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rockford IceHogs | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.