Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrej
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7d7f8edad082d39c7b2c2c7091b4ad9fe9bcd544a57ea4c78f9e01ac23ece1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hayato Matsuokaof Hayato Matsuoka, Kasidit Samrej
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 10c | 3,036$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kasidit Samrej | 20c | 1,728$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.23 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 44c | 1,131$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.44 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kasidit Samrej | 23c | 907.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kasidit Samrej | 40c | 872.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 80c | 819.89$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 728.46$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 64c | 504.83$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Kasidit Samrej | 45c | 498.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…a320backed Hayato Matsuoka | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hayato Matsuoka | 64c | 413.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kasidit Samrej | 41c | 401.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 15c | 359.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hayato Matsuoka | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kasidit Samrej | 35c | 353.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 347.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hayato Matsuoka | 74c | 311.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Kasidit Samrej | 42c | 306.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Hayato Matsuoka | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Kasidit Samrej | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Hayato Matsuoka | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 64c | 232.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kasidit Samrej | 44c | 229$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 44c | 227.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 65c | 208.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Kasidit Samrej | 44c | 193.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a4e7backed Kasidit Samrej | 16c | 183.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 183.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kasidit Samrej | 41c | 170.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hayato Matsuoka | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 114.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kasidit Samrej | 30c | 88.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Kasidit Samrej | 22c | 84.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kasidit Samrej | 41c | 66.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Kasidit Samrej | 35c | 54.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 54.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 45.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 44.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Hayato Matsuoka | 54c | 33.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…40bdbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 30.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Kasidit Samrej | 41c | 29.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hayato Matsuoka | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Kasidit Samrej | 45c | 22.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…0c0bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Hayato Matsuoka | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Hayato Matsuoka | 62c | 16.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Hayato Matsuoka | 73c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrejthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Matsuoka vs SamrejMatsuoka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.