NHL · resolved market
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Koelner Haie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15dac4781016545c730b0f9193066be6c4fbbfbd5354f2cdb60daeb83749e284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koelner Haieof Schwenninger Wild Wings, Koelner Haie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 36c | 655.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Koelner Haie | 65c | 526.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Koelner Haie | 64c | 300.16$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Koelner Haie | 70c | 242.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Koelner Haie | 62c | 205.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 35c | 179.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab0…7d89backed Koelner Haie | 70c | 161.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 38c | 160.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed Koelner Haie | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Koelner Haie | 64c | 129$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Koelner Haie | 62c | 121.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Koelner Haie | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 37c | 95.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Koelner Haie | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…a320backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 37c | 60.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Koelner Haie | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 25c | 55.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 30c | 54.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 37c | 53.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Koelner Haie | 43c | 42.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…01febacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 37c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Koelner Haie | 58c | 40.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Koelner Haie | 45c | 37.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Koelner Haie | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Koelner Haie | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Koelner Haie | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Schwenninger Wild Wings | 50c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Koelner Haie | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings | 55c | 18.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.