Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Garcia vs Kalinina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4510ef865d2eaa186c5093ede2a2209e1c69c1bb21077f5a376bbce1da161f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalininaof Garcia, Kalinina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Garcia | 21c | 1,892$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.41 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Garcia | 23c | 1,200$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…a320backed Garcia | 7c | 995.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalinina | 80c | 866.47$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Garcia | 50c | 200.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kalinina | 52c | 158.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kalinina | 74c | 155.4$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Kalinina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Garcia | 23c | 142.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Kalinina | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Kalinina | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Kalinina | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Kalinina | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Kalinina | 72c | 70.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…f195backed Kalinina | 66c | 64.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Kalinina | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Kalinina | 79c | 31.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kalinina | 66c | 31.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Kalinina | 77c | 27.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Garcia vs Kalininathis page
- Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs. Anhelina Kalinina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Anhelina KalininaAndrea Lazaro Garcia won
- Garcia vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Garcia vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.