NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd01c1f78c300d2cff9268521fd7b6539c3afaef72ac4aaef0d4042903fde3470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Golden Knights, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf984…5098backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,908$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.52 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 49c | 1,799$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.94 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canucks | 51c | 1,449$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.87 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 3c | 1,343$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canucks | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Golden Knights | 52c | 990.62$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Canucks | 51c | 830$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 51c | 373.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Canucks | 52c | 358.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Golden Knights | 49c | 316.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Golden Knights | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Canucks | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 298.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 292.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Golden Knights | 50c | 291.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Canucks | 52c | 262.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 257.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 60c | 239.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden Knights | 23c | 193.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 62c | 190.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 54c | 173.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Canucks | 52c | 134.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Golden Knights | 19c | 129$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 41c | 120.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Canucks | 67c | 118.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 105.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Golden Knights | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Golden Knights | 49c | 97.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 39c | 97.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canucks | 51c | 84.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden Knights | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Canucks | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Canucks | 73c | 73.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Golden Knights | 15c | 73.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Golden Knights | 46c | 68.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Canucks | 60c | 65.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 44c | 58.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Canucks | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…68fbbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Golden Knights | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canucks | 49c | 54.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Canucks | 48c | 53.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Golden Knights | 51c | 53.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Golden Knights | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Canucks | 77c | 49.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Golden Knights | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden Knights | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed Canucks | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Golden Knights | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Canucks | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Golden Knights | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 74c | 36.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Golden Knights | 48c | 35.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights | 54c | 35.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Golden Knights | 42c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Canucks | 80c | 30.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Golden Knights | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Canucks | 63c | 25.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Canucks | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Canucks | 76c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Canucks | 74c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. CanucksGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.