F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b5be8a3ca1a1c41eeae8b7e4b3ce7d5bb515a3f4b745277d55a1c311e73753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7012…14a4backed No | 75c | 5,677$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 25c | 5,286$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223c…7134backed Yes | 37c | 459.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 30c | 365.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked No | 68c | 283$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 72c | 274.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 29c | 211$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…7b5fbacked No | 68c | 167.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…3be1backed Yes | 15c | 111.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 57c | 109.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…bd18backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 30c | 67.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…18a9backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 65c | 50.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +420.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell win the British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen win the British Grand PrixNo won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.