F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the British Grand Prix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ba71fed84c22a185a8ab741179afadb54c3d37c3df23f235c91e54b1aed8e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 32c | 4,317$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.06 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 67c | 2,638$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.9 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 67c | 1,298$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 9c | 1,186$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 64c | 653.85$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +420.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 23c | 537.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…3be1backed Yes | 31c | 534.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…b140backed Yes | 31c | 525.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 68c | 434.82$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 69c | 432.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…e385backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…18a9backed Yes | 32c | 240.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 8c | 232.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…4160backed Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…045dbacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed No | 70c | 122.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…d2f6backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…55c7backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…58cebacked Yes | 32c | 78.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…7b5fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…422fbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…5170backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…bd18backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…0a8bbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5576backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 57c | 21.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…7733backed No | 70c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the British Grand Prixthis page
- Will George Russell win the British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.